14 Days Ahead Operational Metered Wind Forecasts
Summary
NESO publishes 0-14 day ahead wind forecasts for all wind farms providing real-time operational metering data. Forecasts use evaluated operational capacity based on recent actual production levels from SCADA telemetry rather than nameplate capacity. The dataset covers both national and individual wind farm level predictions.
Why it matters
Operational capacity methodology provides more accurate forecasting than nameplate capacity by reflecting real-world constraints like curtailment and maintenance. This improves system balancing efficiency and reduces the need for expensive reserve services, though the benefit depends on forecast accuracy improvements over existing methods.
Key facts
- •0-14 day forecast horizon
- •Based on operational capacity from SCADA data
- •Covers all wind farms with real-time metering
- •Published 2024-07-16
Areas affected
Related programmes
Memo
The dataset contains national and windfarm-level 0-14 Day Ahead wind forecasts for all the windfarms which provide real-time operational metering (SCADA telemetry) to the NESO. The forecasts are based on evaluated Operational Capacity, which is a deterministic value based on recent actual production levels of that windfarm, captured from SCADA telemetry.