14 Days Ahead Wind Forecasts
Summary
NESO publishes 14-day ahead wind forecasts at national and Balancing Mechanism Unit level, extending beyond their day-ahead wind forecasts. The forecasts use evaluated Operational Capacity based on recent actual production levels from SCADA telemetry. The data covers all wind farms contributing to NESO's day-ahead incentive wind forecasts.
Why it matters
Better wind forecasting data allows market participants to price wind intermittency more accurately across longer horizons, reducing reliance on expensive balancing services. As such, this represents information provision that supports price discovery rather than administrative allocation of wind uncertainty.
Key facts
- •14-day forecast horizon
- •BMU-level granularity
- •Based on SCADA telemetry
- •Published 2021-02-22
Areas affected
Memo
The dataset contains national and BMU-Level 0-14 day ahead wind forecasts for all the windfarms which are used to produce NESO's national day ahead incentive wind forecasts available [here](https://www.neso.energy/data-portal/day-ahead-wind-forecast). The forecasts are based on evaluated Operational Capacity, which is a deterministic value based on recent actual production levels of that BMU, captured from SCADA telemetry (Operational Metering).